Independiente del Valle vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
UCH
1 - 1
IVT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 2
IVT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
CUE
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
ANZ
0 - 2
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
UCE
2 - 3
IVT
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
LOJ
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
NAC
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
BSC
0 - 1
NAC
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |