Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
4 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
IVT
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 3
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
LIG
1 - 1
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 4
MAC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
CUN
0 - 1
AUC
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 3
CUE
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
TEC
1 - 1
AUC
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |