Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MUS
0 - 2
IVT
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
IVT
4 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
3 - 2
ORE
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
IVT
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
IVT
0 - 0
CUE
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
AUC
0 - 0
ORE
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
EME
2 - 2
AUC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
AUC
3 - 0
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
AUC
41%
25%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |