Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 1
LIG
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 2
COR
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
IVT
50%
27%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
IVT
0 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
UCE
0 - 1
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
39%
28%
34%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |