Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
IVT
2 - 2
BSC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
IVT
24%
27%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 3
CUE
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
DEL
1 - 1
AUC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
IVT
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
AUC
0 - 0
LIG
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |