Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
RIV
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LOJ
3 - 2
IVT
20%
25%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 0
EME
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
IVT
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
BSC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |