Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
DUC
2 - 1
IVT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
IVT
4 - 1
MUN
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 1
IVT
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
IVT
0 - 2
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MUN
3 - 1
IVT
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 1
LOJ
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BQD
0 - 0
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 2
LDU
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
LDU
3 - 2
AUC
44%
27%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 2
BQD
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |