Independiente del Valle vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
DUC
1 - 2
IVT
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
IVT
3 - 4
MUN
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LDU
3 - 0
IVT
24%
28%
48%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 1
LOJ
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BQD
0 - 0
AUC
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 0
MAN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
AUC
1 - 2
TEC
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UCE
3 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |