Independiente del Valle vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 2
IVT
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 1
GRE
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 2
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
IVT
2 - 0
DEL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
OCT
4 - 0
RIV
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
3 - 2
OCT
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
OCT
1 - 3
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
EME
0 - 1
OCT
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
OCT
2 - 0
OLM
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |