CSD Independiente vs Xilvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CDG
2 - 0
CSD
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SFF
2 - 1
CSD
52%
23%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CSD
4 - 2
AND
31%
23%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SLL
1 - 1
CSD
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAL
2 - 1
CSD
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Xilvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
XIL
5 - 2
MUR
26%
23%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
SHO
1 - 0
XIL
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
XIL
0 - 1
GEN
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PLA
2 - 3
XIL
69%
18%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
XIL
2 - 3
FRR
27%
25%
48%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |