CSD Independiente vs S´Horta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 3
SFF
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
AND
0 - 2
CSD
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
CSD
1 - 2
SLL
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CSD
1 - 0
CAL
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 2
CSD
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
S´Horta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 4
SHO
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
SHO
2 - 3
POL
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
CDE
0 - 2
SHO
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SHO
2 - 3
MUR
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
SHO
43%
24%
33%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |