CSD Independiente vs CD Génova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CSD
4 - 0
CFP
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PLA
4 - 2
CSD
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
CSD
3 - 2
CAR
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 2
CEC
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 1
CSD
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CD Génova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDG
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
CDG
4 - 1
ART
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AND
3 - 1
CDG
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDG
2 - 2
SLL
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
ALA
4 - 1
CDG
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |