CSD Independiente vs CD España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CDG
5 - 3
CSD
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 2
UNI
35%
25%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SER
0 - 3
CSD
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CSD
2 - 3
SHO
34%
24%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 3
SFF
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CDE
4 - 0
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
POL
1 - 1
CDE
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CDE
2 - 1
CDE
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 4
CDE
46%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ESP
4 - 2
CDE
37%
24%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |