CSD Independiente vs Calvià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAR
4 - 2
CSD
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
CSD
1 - 0
POL
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 1
CSD
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CSD
1 - 0
MUR
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
CSD
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Calvià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 3
CFP
30%
24%
45%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAL
77%
16%
8%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 3
CDE
21%
22%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 1
CDG
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |