CSD Arzua vs Somozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARZ
1 - 0
RCV
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SIL
0 - 1
ARZ
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARZ
3 - 0
ASP
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EST
0 - 1
ARZ
48%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 0
ARZ
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 4
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RCV
1 - 1
SOM
62%
22%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 2
COM
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SIL
2 - 3
SOM
54%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
SOM
2 - 2
ARE
38%
25%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |