CSD Arzua vs SDC Residencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CDC
5 - 1
ARZ
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 1
AES
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 0
ARZ
49%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 2
OVA
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
ARZ
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SDC Residencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIV
3 - 1
SDC
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SDC
3 - 2
CDC
31%
25%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AES
2 - 0
SDC
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SDC
1 - 1
NOI
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
OVA
1 - 0
SDC
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |