CSD Arzua vs SD Sarriana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 2
ARZ
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 0
ARZ
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
ARZ
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CHA
64%
19%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Sarriana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
LAR
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
SAR
27%
24%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
CHA
55%
22%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDC
1 - 1
SAR
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
VIV
46%
24%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |