CSD Arzua vs O Val analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ART
4 - 0
ARZ
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MIL
49%
22%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
DUM
0 - 1
ARZ
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
3 - 1
UPH
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
ARZ
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
O Val
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
OVA
2 - 2
LAR
12%
20%
68%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
STA
1 - 0
OVA
50%
24%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OVA
2 - 4
CHA
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CDC
2 - 1
OVA
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
OVA
0 - 2
VIV
34%
26%
40%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |