CSD Arzua vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARZ
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
ARZ
2 - 3
PON
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 1
ARZ
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ARZ
3 - 0
UPH
39%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SOM
2 - 1
ARZ
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
OUR
0 - 0
RCV
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SIL
0 - 1
OUR
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
OUR
2 - 1
ASP
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
EST
2 - 3
OUR
19%
25%
56%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
OUR
4 - 0
UDO
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |