CSD Arzua vs UD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDA
1 - 0
ARZ
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PON
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POL
2 - 0
ARZ
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SIL
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
UPH
2 - 2
ARZ
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
UDO
3 - 3
VIV
50%
23%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
UDO
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
UDO
3 - 1
UDA
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 0
UDO
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
UDO
1 - 2
OUR
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |