CSD Arzua vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
RCV
2 - 2
ARZ
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 2
SOM
36%
26%
38%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 2
BOU
35%
26%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PON
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ARZ
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOI
0 - 1
SOM
23%
25%
53%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NOI
0 - 3
OUR
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 2
NOI
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NOI
1 - 2
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
NOI
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |