CSD Arzua vs Laracha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 1
ARZ
26%
23%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARZ
2 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DUB
2 - 1
ARZ
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SAR
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
LEM
1 - 2
ARZ
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Laracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 3
LAR
22%
23%
56%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
AGR
56%
23%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
LAR
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 3
DUB
27%
27%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 1
LAR
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |