CSD Arzua vs CD Estradense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
15º
15º
39
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ARO
1 - 0
ARZ
66%
21%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARZ
0 - 1
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UPH
3 - 2
ARZ
30%
25%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAR
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
RCV
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Estradense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ALO
1 - 2
EST
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
21%
23%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
EST
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
UPH
64%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |