CSD Arzua vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
STA
2 - 0
ARZ
29%
25%
45%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ASP
1 - 0
ARZ
49%
24%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
SOF
2 - 3
ARZ
25%
24%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 1
DUM
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
1 - 2
RIB
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 1
VIV
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 2
BET
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
UPH
1 - 2
CDC
59%
22%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DUB
1 - 2
CDC
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |