CSD Arzua vs CD Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VIV
0 - 0
ARZ
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 3
ARZ
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 3
NEG
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BET
1 - 1
ARZ
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ART
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CDC
3 - 2
LAR
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 2
CDC
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CDC
4 - 0
DUM
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 2
CDC
57%
22%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
CDC
0 - 1
NEG
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |