CSD Arzua vs Barco analysis


26	ELO	28
-11.9%	Tilt	-15.4%
14482º	General ELO ranking	9140º
3373º	Country ELO ranking	499º
ELO win probability

40%

CSD Arzua

24.2%

Draw

35.7%

Barco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%

24.2%

Draw

0-0

4.9%

1-1

11.2%

2-2

6.3%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.2%

35.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-63%

+26%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

14º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

31

7º

15º

31

8º

15º

14º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

15º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	61	61	1º	100%
2º	58	58	2º	100%
3º	56	56	3º	100%
4º	46	46	4º	100%
5º	45	45	5º	100%
6º	41	41	6º	0%
7º	41	41	7º	0%
8º	40	40	8º	100%
9º	39	39	9º	100%
10º	38	38	10º	100%
13º	37	37	11º	0%
12º	37	37	12º	100%
11º	37	37	13º	0%
15º	31	31	14º	100%
14º	31	31	15º	100%
16º	15	15	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	0%
Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSD Arzua

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jan. 2023	RCV 1 - 1 ARZ 60% 22% 19%	26	33	7	0
15 Jan. 2023	ARZ 3 - 1 SOM 33% 26% 40%	25	30	5	+1
08 Jan. 2023	ARZ 1 - 0 UDO 28% 25% 47%	23	31	8	+2
17 Dec. 2022	CHO 1 - 1 ARZ 47% 24% 29%	23	22	1	0
11 Dec. 2022	ARZ 2 - 1 ART 36% 24% 40%	22	24	2	+1

Matches

Barco

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Jan. 2023	BAR 2 - 1 EST 39% 24% 37%	27	30	3	0
15 Jan. 2023	ARO 2 - 1 BAR 59% 23% 19%	27	37	10	0
07 Jan. 2023	DEP 4 - 1 BAR 67% 19% 15%	28	36	8	-1
17 Dec. 2022	BAR 2 - 1 UPH 67% 19% 14%	28	21	7	0
11 Dec. 2022	ALO 3 - 0 BAR 37% 26% 37%	29	29	0	-1