Grecia vs Rocafuerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 2
MUN
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
RIV
2 - 1
GRE
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 1
UTC
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
TEC
2 - 2
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
LOJ
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rocafuerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 1
LDU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
MUN
1 - 1
ROC
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
DPT
1 - 1
ROC
36%
29%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 1
RIV
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
IMB
1 - 1
ROC
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |