Grecia vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
UTC
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
DPT
3 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 1
DEP
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DEP
6 - 0
GRE
29%
25%
46%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
ROC
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
UTC
1 - 1
MAC
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
DPT
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DPT
1 - 0
MAC
25%
28%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |