Grecia vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
MUN
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOJ
3 - 1
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
AUD
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
IVT
1 - 2
UCE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IVT
3 - 0
LOJ
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
1 - 3
IVT
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
IVT
5 - 1
ROC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MUN
1 - 1
IVT
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |