Grecia vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
LOJ
0 - 0
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
3 - 1
LOJ
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
DPT
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 1
UCE
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
DPT
4 - 0
AUC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
DPT
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AUC
2 - 1
GRE
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
IVT
2 - 2
AUC
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
AUC
1 - 1
IMB
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |