Grecia vs Aucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
IMB
2 - 1
GRE
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
DUC
1 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
MUN
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
GRE
3 - 1
IMB
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LOJ
3 - 1
GRE
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 0
MUN
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 0
DUC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
AUC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 1
BQD
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |