Segunda Categoría - Ecuador 1/32
Global 2-0
Unibolívar vs 5 de Agosto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unibolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AGO
0 - 0
CDU
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CDU
0 - 1
CDP
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDP
0 - 0
CDU
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
CDU
63%
22%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CDU
0 - 2
CAL
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
5 de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AGO
0 - 0
CDU
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |