Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/32
Global 1-2
Primero de Mayo vs Baños Ciudad de Fuego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primero de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CSM
1 - 2
LDU
17%
23%
61%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LDU
0 - 1
CSM
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
CSM
0 - 1
NAC
8%
15%
78%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSM
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSM
2 - 3
FIL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Baños Ciudad de Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ECS
3 - 1
BCF
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BCF
2 - 1
ECS
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |