CSA vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 2
CSA
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 1
LON
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 0
CSA
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 2
GUA
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRZ
23%
28%
49%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
CRI
41%
31%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OPE
1 - 1
VIL
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |