CSA vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 2
CSA
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CSA
4 - 1
LON
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
BOA
3 - 0
CSA
36%
30%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CSA
3 - 0
CRI
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
OES
2 - 1
CSA
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
COT
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
OES
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
58%
26%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
GOI
32%
29%
40%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
VIL
40%
28%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |