CSA vs Vasco da Gama analysis

CSA Vasco da Gama
79 ELO 88
-1.9% Tilt -26%
990º General ELO ranking 146º
48º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
27.5%
CSA
25.1%
Draw
47.4%
Vasco da Gama

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
CSA
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.4%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

CSA
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CSA
CSA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2025
CSA
CSA
1 - 1
Figueirense
FFL
60%
24%
16%
79 72 7 0
15 Jul. 2025
RFC
Retro FC
0 - 0
CSA
CSA
31%
31%
39%
79 67 12 0
10 Jul. 2025
CSA
CSA
2 - 1
Ferroviário
FER
68%
19%
13%
78 64 14 +1
06 Jul. 2025
CSA
CSA
2 - 3
Caxias do Sul
CAX
58%
25%
17%
79 73 6 -1
28 Jun. 2025
GUA
Guaraní
1 - 0
CSA
CSA
52%
27%
21%
79 81 2 0

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2025
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
64%
21%
15%
87 80 7 0
19 Jul. 2025
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
45%
26%
29%
87 87 0 0
16 Jul. 2025
IVT
Independiente del Valle
4 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
30%
25%
45%
87 80 7 0
12 Jul. 2025
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
50%
26%
24%
87 87 0 0
13 Jun. 2025
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
43%
26%
31%
87 87 0 0