CSA vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
0 - 2
CSA
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
GOI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 3
CSA
36%
29%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
PPE
2 - 1
CSA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
VAS
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAM
59%
24%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 0
CON
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 0
VAS
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |