CSA vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
CSA
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CSA
2 - 0
POT
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
NAU
0 - 3
CSA
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
POT
3 - 4
CSA
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEA
19%
23%
57%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
FLU
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
4 - 1
CEN
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
TRE
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
TRE
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |