CSA vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CSA
1 - 0
ITA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 3
CSA
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
CSA
3 - 1
VIT
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CSA
0 - 0
ASA
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
SOU
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 1
SOU
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CAM
4 - 0
SOU
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |