CSA vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
CSA
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CRB
0 - 1
CSA
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 3
CRB
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 1
ASA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SER
6 - 1
SDJ
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
RIP
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
RIP
0 - 0
SER
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |