CSA vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CSA
1 - 0
ITU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
ITU
1 - 2
CSA
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ALT
2 - 0
CSA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CSA
3 - 0
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITA
66%
23%
11%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAO
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
JMA
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BRU
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |