CSA vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
MIX
1 - 0
CSA
9%
19%
72%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 3
CSA
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 1
MUR
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
AFO
2 - 2
SAL
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAU
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 3
FEC
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
BOT
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
3 - 2
SAL
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |