CSA vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
5 - 0
DSA
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 20 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
0 - 2
SAO
15%
23%
63%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CSE
0 - 0
CSA
23%
27%
50%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
CSA
19%
23%
59%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CSA
2 - 1
ASA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 2
FEC
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
5 - 0
SAL
80%
15%
6%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |