CSA vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 0
PAY
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSA
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 2
VIL
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 2
CSA
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRB
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
BRA
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GOI
2 - 2
PPE
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OES
0 - 0
PPE
29%
30%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 0
SAM
65%
22%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |