CSA vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
CSA
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CSA
1 - 2
VIL
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 2
CSA
56%
26%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
CSA
4 - 1
LON
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 3
GOI
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 1
CRI
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BOA
1 - 1
PAY
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 1
AVA
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAY
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |