CSA vs Parnahyba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
CSA
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
CSA
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
2 - 1
CEN
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CSA
6 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSA
27%
28%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CEN
50%
26%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
5 - 0
GUA
48%
26%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
PAR
39%
26%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
CEN
1 - 0
PAR
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CSA
27%
28%
44%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |