CSA vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
CSA
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
OPE
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AMF
2 - 0
CSA
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
CSA
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRI
70%
20%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
SPO
27%
31%
42%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITU
27%
30%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
NOV
3 - 1
CRB
27%
30%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |