CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 0
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
BOA
0 - 2
CSA
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ASA
1 - 0
CSA
17%
25%
58%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
CSA
4 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
CSA
9%
16%
76%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SED
1 - 0
NAU
4%
10%
86%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 4
NAU
9%
17%
75%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAU
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
0 - 0
SDJ
74%
17%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
NAU
4 - 0
AFO
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |