CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
CSA
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CRB
1 - 1
CSA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
FLO
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 0
CRB
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CSA
3 - 0
BOT
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
NAU
7%
18%
76%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 0
ALA
85%
11%
5%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 2
FOR
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
RFC
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |