CSA vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 1
CSA
23%
30%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 0
COT
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
CSA
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
REM
1 - 0
CSA
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 4
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |